Predictive Modeling Solutions

JEN has developed a model that is specifically designed for predicting individuals who are at risk of long-term nursing facility admission. The model estimates the probability that an individual would have a future nursing-home admission, using the existing data from the Medicaid and Medicare program. The JEN probability score is based on several factors, including impairment, age, gender, and payer, and is specifically designed to target and identify the population of elderly individuals eligible for intervention strategies.

In addition to predicting individuals that are at risk of a nursing home admission, the JEN predictive model is flexible enough to be used for designing an effective long-term care program, including:
(1) targeting candidates for screening and evaluation for the Demonstration Waiver Program;
(2) supporting design and clinical/social intervention strategies of the program; and,
(3) performing a waiver analysis and more.

Project Examples