Predicting Nursing Home Admissions

To develop an effective policy that promotes the use of home- and community-based long-term care as an alternative to institutional care, policymakers and leaders must fully understand the disease, risk, frailty and social characteristics of the specific population groups who are at risk of nursing home admission. Additionally, federal approval of any state policy to modify the Medicaid program design requires that a budget neutrality analysis – or an evaluation of program costs – be carefully conducted and be based upon data and credible information.

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